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Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 78th percentile for threes drained, tallying 1.7 per game this year.
  • Bradley Beal has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
  • The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
  • The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bradley Beal has converted just 6.9 buckets per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.9 mark last season.
  • As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
  • The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • Bradley Beal has attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.6 rate last year.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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