Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has made 47.1% of his treys over the last 15 games, 8.6% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Bradley Beal has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home in terms of three-point attempts.
In comparison to last season's 4.6 rate, Bradley Beal's number of foul shot attempts has declined this season to 2.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Bradley Beal figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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