Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has made 58.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 19.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Bradley Beal has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Bradley Beal has sunk 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1).
The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, struggling to draw fouls.

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