Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has made 68.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 27.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home.
Bradley Beal has averaged 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has made a mere 7.0 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.9 rate last year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year, opposing squads have captured 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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