Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to scoring, the Suns's excellent 123.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for 3-point shots; their opposition has put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.5%).
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Mavericks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 26.4 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

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