Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 88th percentile for shots from the field drained, totaling a monstrous 6.9 per game this year.
Bradley Beal has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Bradley Beal has attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.6 rate last season.
Bradley Beal will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production across the board.

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