Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal comes in at the 88th percentile for shots from the field sunk, compiling a monstrous 7.1 per game this year.
Bradley Beal has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Suns's excellent 128.0 points per game as the road team rates strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8).
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
In contrast to last season's 4.6 mark, Bradley Beal's number of free throws has diminished this season to 2.9 free throws per game.
Bradley Beal will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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