Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 19, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has made 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The number of threes scored against Herbert Jones has been quite high (2.6 per game) when guarding opposing starting SGs this year (97th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with respect to three-point attempts.
Bradley Beal has attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.6 rate last year.
The clash with Herbert Jones with respect to getting to the free-throw line registers in the 17th percentile for difficulty with rival starting SGs attempting just 1.9 free throws per game this year when they are on the road.
Bradley Beal will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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