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Bradley Beal
NBA · Player Props
Bradley Beal
G · Phoenix Suns
Points
Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024 Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:14 AM EST
NBA Props Bradley Beal Points

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Phoenix Suns rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
  • This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup.
  • The quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
  • This year, opposing clubs have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).
  • Bradley Beal has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Favors Under
  • Bradley Beal has totaled just 16.1 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 23.2 points per game last season.
  • Bradley Beal has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (76th percentile).
  • The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
  • The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
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