Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's stellar 116.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 18 games.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).
Bradley Beal will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 8.9 mark, Bradley Beal's shots from the field hit have been reduced this year to 5.8 per game.
Relative to last season's 4.4 rate, Bradley Beal's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 3.1 per game.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (11.4).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-slowest tempo away team in the league this year (the LA Clippers).

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