Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk 51.4% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (20.2).
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Suns.
The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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