Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 80th percentile for 3-point prowess with a a great 37.2% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have captured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).

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