Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing squads have tallied 102.9 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 19.4 free throws per game when the Timberwolves are on the road this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's feeble 110.8 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 8th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
When playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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