Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 6:09 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have averaged 33.0% on threes (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.9 foul shot attempts per game.
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted a colossal 25.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).

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