Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made a whopping 51.9% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 45.4 rate last year.
Bradley Beal has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.
While playing at home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.5%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Magic may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).