Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has attempted 19.3 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has successfully made 39.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year away from his home court.
Bradley Beal has tallied 35.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.5).
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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