Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has attempted 19.3 shots per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has attempted 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Wizards.

Favors Under

The matchup against Detroit is a difficult one; when the Pistons are on the road, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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