Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has attempted 5.0 threes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have given up the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.7).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Raptors are the visiting team (11th-least in the NBA).

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