Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bradley Beal has attempted 5.0 three-pointers per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have given up the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.7).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Raptors are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

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