Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted overall this season.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The matchup against Anfernee Simons is a strong one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a colossal 40.4% of their 3-pointers (93rd percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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