Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted a terrific 53.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly more than his 45.4 rate last season.
Bradley Beal has played 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against Klay Thompson is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when Thompson is on his home court fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a massive 15.5 field goals per game (93rd percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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