Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 47.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.1% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Bradley Beal has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Bradley Beal has averaged 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 10th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Andrew Nembhard is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 20.2 points per game when matched up against fellow starting SGs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Pacers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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