Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 46.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Bradley Beal will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has attempted a lowly 16.1 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 19.3 rate last year.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-least shots made from the field per game in the league over the last 10 games (4.7).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).