Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk 55.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 21.8% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Bradley Beal has successfully made a terrific 89.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 80.1 rate last year.
Bradley Beal has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.3).
The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game playing at home this year (2nd-least in the league).

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