Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 64.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.6% higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
Bradley Beal has successfully made 87.9% of his free throws this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has averaged 31.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted just 26.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a tough one for three-pointers; without the home court advantage, opposing teams have totaled the least treys per game in the NBA this year (14.5).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; while on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2).

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