Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has compiled 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
Bradley Beal has tallied 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Bradley Beal will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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