Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Suns will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Bradley Beal will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has totaled just 3.1 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 5.0 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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