Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 4.3 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Bradley Beal has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 86th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
Bradley Beal is expected to see a decline in output across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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