Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Bradley Beal is expected to see an increase in output across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has posted just 3.7 assists per game this year, significantly less than his 5.0 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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