Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 5.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 91st percentile.
Bradley Beal has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's played overall this season.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
Bradley Beal should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 3rdworst in in the league while playing at home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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