Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has posted 4.4 assists per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this standard in recent days.
Bradley Beal has averaged 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
This year, opposing squads have captured 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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