Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has tallied 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Suns have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Bradley Beal will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has snagged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (preserving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

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