Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has compiled 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's compiled overall this season at home.
Bradley Beal has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Bradley Beal will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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