Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has tallied 4.0 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category in recent days.
Bradley Beal has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year.
Over the last 22 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

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