Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has put up 3.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric recently.
Bradley Beal has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Suns rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).
Bradley Beal stands to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

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