Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has tallied 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Bradley Beal has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Suns.
Bradley Beal ought to see a spike in productivity across the board considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 7thworst in in the league on their home court with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have brought down 10.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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