Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -161 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 5.3 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 91st percentile.
Bradley Beal has played 30.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Knicks (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).
Bradley Beal will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 0.0 technical fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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