Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:17 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 5.3 assists per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.7 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
On the road, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal ought to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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