Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 5.1 assists per game on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
Bradley Beal has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
Bradley Beal will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

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