Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 6.0 mark, Bojan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 7.4 per game.
Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 33.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 7.0 shots made from the field per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, creating a good matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic lands in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 88.0% clip, Bojan Bogdanovic's free-throw ability has regressed this season to 71.9%.

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