Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bojan Bogdanovic has converted 2.5 threes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Bojan Bogdanovic has played 32.4 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bojan Bogdanovic has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
Playing at home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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