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Bojan Bogdanovic

Bojan Bogdanovic Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bojan Bogdanovic has scored 21.0 points per game away from home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.

Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 30.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Jayson Tatum is a favorable one for three-pointers; when matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have sunk a massive 39.3% of their three-point shots (96th percentile).

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile).

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pistons.

The matchup against Jayson Tatum is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Tatum is playing at home and defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game (21st percentile).

Bojan Bogdanovic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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