Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bojan Bogdanovic has posted 21.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against Precious Achiuwa is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a massive 6.0 threes per game (100th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.

Favors Under

Bojan Bogdanovic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Bojan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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