Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bojan Bogdanovic has scored 21.3 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 91st percentile.
Bojan Bogdanovic has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Pistons.
Bojan Bogdanovic has made 4.5 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Bojan Bogdanovic has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Keita Bates-Diop is a difficult one; he has allowed just 13.4 points per game without the home court advantage when guarding fellow starting SFs this year (3rd percentile).
The matchup against Keita Bates-Diop is a hard one for drawing fouls; when Bates-Diop is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.1 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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