Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 17.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.7 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Bojan Bogdanovic has sunk 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted overall this season.
Bojan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game this year at home, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA in recent days: 83rd percentile.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at drawing fouls: best in the league this year, tallying 27.1 foul shots per game.
The Magic have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year when playing away from home (which also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals over this stretch of games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year in terms of shots made from the field.
The matchup against Paolo Banchero may be a hard one for drawing fouls; when matched up against fellow starting SFs, they have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game this year when playing away from home (81st percentile).

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