Bogdan Bogdanovic Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Steals

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 1.2 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this standard recently: 92nd percentile.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.2 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

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