Bogdan Bogdanovic Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Steals

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 1.7 steals per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 98th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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