Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).
Bogdan Bogdanovic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 1.4 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.0.
The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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