Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up a whopping 3.3 defensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.1 defensive rebounds per game last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 15thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Spurs have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
Bogdan Bogdanovic ought to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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