Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Bogdan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bogdan Bogdanovic

G · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bogdan Bogdanovic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bogdan Bogdanovic is expected to get a boost in output for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Bogdan Bogdanovic has totaled 0.2 offensive boards per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile -- among the league's worst by this standard.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has accumulated 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.

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